Modelling Thermal Comfort Indices for Urban Areas
SPACE DEMONSTRATOR PROGRAM
Heat waves are already seriously impacting urban liveability, leading to increases in water demand and increase risks of negative health and productivity outcomes. The issues will be further exacerbated in the coming decades as we negotiate our path through global and urban climate changes. In Sydney, the summer urban surface temperature in treeless areas has been observed to be up to 13⁰C higher than adjacent vegetated non-urban areas. Experimentation with strategic irrigation of brownfield sites using recycled water has demonstrated that certain areas can be cooled by 3⁰C, identifying the vital role that water utilities will play in urban cooling.
Sydney is a dynamic city which will generate more heat and use more water as it grows. There is a real need to collect data on the current state of urban heating in different areas of our city so that we can provide useful information to decision makers and residents on existing and future problems and ways to mitigate them. For example, targeted programs by local councils to their residents, such as simple messaging campaigns to water gardens at key times, have the potential to reduce the impact of heat waves, or new property developments could be required to address their thermal footprint at the planning stage and implement mitigation measures for urban cooling and greening, such as those contained in Sydney Water’s Urban Typologies Report.
A key metric to understand the amount of urban heat effects is the outdoor human thermal comfort metric, which is based on a number of environmental measurements (dry-bulb temperature which is the air temperature provided by BOM, relative humidity, air speed, and radiant temperature). There is, however, currently a lack of cost-effective large scale monitoring techniques to gather the data needed to calculate the human thermal comfort in real-time according to urban typology; this is particularly true of radiant temperature which is difficult to infer from surface temperature as it strongly affected by the immediate three-dimensional environment. As a result, current mitigation measures are not as useful as they lack the accurate inputs needed to drive meaningful countermeasures.
Our project aims to demonstrate that outdoor human thermal comfort can be calculated in real-time, with high spatial resolution and at-scale using only satellite imagery and existing datasets from BOM. This requires us to infer radiant heat at-scale, using a model that we will develop, that will be informed by direct measurements of the human thermal comfort metrics, such as radiant temperature undertaken at several Sydney locations. Key to our approach is that the sensors will only be used to acquire training data to develop the model that infers the human thermal conform so that no additional infrastructure will be deployed. Our approach harness satellite imagery and land segmentation models in combination with BOM datasets to cost-effectively and accurately calculate human thermal comfort over large urban topologies.